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Mar 22, 2013
03/13
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we're in the obama economy. a college student doesn't need to study capitalism, moves into his parents house, lives there until he's 30. is on their health care plan. where do you find a professor to teach the joys of capitalism. >> there has to be somebody out there. >> they are there but they are a vanishing minority. >> capitalism is freedom. i appeal to your higher spirits. there must be an agreement with us some place. capitalism is about freedom. live, liberty and pursuit of happiness is done best through the free market capitalist system. >> i agree with you, larry. i don't know what stanford is doing. obviously they can do what they want because they are a private university and we have freedom of speech but i certainly would encourage the teaching of capitalism on campus. but i think you're all on a different planet. liberals are very supportive of capitalism. and this notion that somehow that the whole country has become anti-capitalist is not true. >> dave horowitz the congress man believes liberals a
we're in the obama economy. a college student doesn't need to study capitalism, moves into his parents house, lives there until he's 30. is on their health care plan. where do you find a professor to teach the joys of capitalism. >> there has to be somebody out there. >> they are there but they are a vanishing minority. >> capitalism is freedom. i appeal to your higher spirits. there must be an agreement with us some place. capitalism is about freedom. live, liberty and...
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Mar 19, 2013
03/13
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the big policy shift or abe-onomics is giving aus view of the japanese economy. we think that the current stance and the shift at the boj with the new governor taking place later this week is clearly the best opportunity japan has had in the last 15 years to get rid of deflation and i think in that sense we are staying with the market momentum which is very constructive on japan. that is our biggest overweight. >> regional equities. >> we'll leave it there. valentin, appreciate your time today. >> i had mentioned as well the u.s. stocks. here is a look at futures. we saw it in cypriot banks, cypriot stocks reopen not happening. they will be staying closed until at least thursday. largely looking down on the dow by 14 points. the nasdaq and the s&p pointing higher when it did emerge that cypress wouldn't be voting and not approving the terms of the bailout last night. we're still waiting for the final confirmation on the timing of that vote. not so much market nervousness here. the ftse cnbc global 300 is down by 0.1%. as we look at major european markets, the fts
the big policy shift or abe-onomics is giving aus view of the japanese economy. we think that the current stance and the shift at the boj with the new governor taking place later this week is clearly the best opportunity japan has had in the last 15 years to get rid of deflation and i think in that sense we are staying with the market momentum which is very constructive on japan. that is our biggest overweight. >> regional equities. >> we'll leave it there. valentin, appreciate your...
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Mar 26, 2013
03/13
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economy is pretty encouraging. and there is now a reasonable chance in the second half of the year that the fed might taper its purchases. which would mean instead of buying at $85 billion a month, maybe they buy at $50 billion a month. and to the extent that the economy is continuing to recover over the next year, i think there's a reasonable chance that during the first half of 2014, the fed might phase out its quantitative easing entirely. >> all right. nathan, stay there. more to come from you. meanwhile, let's bring you up to speed with where we are on global asset prices right now. european equities, pretty mixed at the moment. we were up around, what, 10% and a little bit more around this time yesterday. them we went down at the end of the session which brought toous markets down. losses between 0.4%, 0.3% on the dow. the ftse 100 absolutely flat. kingfisher coming up, they're impacting the numbers across europe. xetra dax up 13 points. we're down 0.3% for the ibex. the ftse mib is fairly flat at the moment.
economy is pretty encouraging. and there is now a reasonable chance in the second half of the year that the fed might taper its purchases. which would mean instead of buying at $85 billion a month, maybe they buy at $50 billion a month. and to the extent that the economy is continuing to recover over the next year, i think there's a reasonable chance that during the first half of 2014, the fed might phase out its quantitative easing entirely. >> all right. nathan, stay there. more to come...
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Mar 19, 2013
03/13
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i mean, if you look at cyprus' economy, there are two major factors to that economy. tourism and financial services. you could kill the financial services immediately right there. so it's two underpinnings. almost like when greece was doing smo of the same things. >> but you say it matters because it could spread elsewhere? >> just the thought that somebody thought this was a good idea is scary enough to me, i would think. but it's going to be one of those things. we'll have to watch and see how it folds out. but i've got a feeling it will have to turn itself around fairly quickly. >> michael, what do you think? have you changed any of your behavior in terms of allocating capital, as a result of what we've seen in the last 48 hours? >> no, not really, maria. i still think that cyprus is certainly something to watch. but i think it's just part of the negotiation process, exactly what's happening in greece. we have to watch and see if it accelerates and this idea sweeps around europe, but i doubt that's going to happen. i actually think that europe is starting to presen
i mean, if you look at cyprus' economy, there are two major factors to that economy. tourism and financial services. you could kill the financial services immediately right there. so it's two underpinnings. almost like when greece was doing smo of the same things. >> but you say it matters because it could spread elsewhere? >> just the thought that somebody thought this was a good idea is scary enough to me, i would think. but it's going to be one of those things. we'll have to...
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Mar 21, 2013
03/13
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you've got the good economy. tremendous housing numbers, miraculous retail sales, terrific oil and gas markets. you have the bad economy. weakening commodity prices. slow commercial real estate business. really bad world commerce outlook. real soft information technology sales. you mix them all up together and you get the absolute perfect environment for the fed reserve to stay stock market friendly. that's exactly what happened today. ben bernanke allowed the averages to power higher. dow gained 56 points. the s&p rising today, nasdaq jumping .78%. it's not sleight of hand or alchemy at work here, despite what critics say when they constantly slam the fed. >> boo! >> bernanke is not playing a game of move the stock market higher by simply continuing to keep the competition from bonds incredibly weak. he's got a real good reason for doing what he's doing, which is staying the course, keeping rates low. that reason? 1937. see, ben bernanke is a rigorous guy. he's a professor and a genuine scholar of american finan
you've got the good economy. tremendous housing numbers, miraculous retail sales, terrific oil and gas markets. you have the bad economy. weakening commodity prices. slow commercial real estate business. really bad world commerce outlook. real soft information technology sales. you mix them all up together and you get the absolute perfect environment for the fed reserve to stay stock market friendly. that's exactly what happened today. ben bernanke allowed the averages to power higher. dow...
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Mar 21, 2013
03/13
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he said the chancellor is sucking the confidence out of the economy. the financial markets seemed e prerelaxed with what we heard yesterday. >> i think the potential markets have factored in now for very many months. the economy here in the uk is flat. it's flat lined. there's no growth. our deficit has been expected to stay high now for many months. the chancellor confirmed yesterday what we've all known for a long time. the national debt is rising year on year. the borrowing is not coming down. britain was an experiment two years ago in rapid austerity. i think the markets here know what the country here in britain knows, it's failed. >> they did come out saying business applauded measures yesterday, which i'm sure he would also applaud. 32 pounds of national insurance. that's going to help job creation, cutting corporate tax rates again. infrastructure spending, he's done that, as well. there are very business friendly measures here and it's the private sector, after all, that's going to get the growth going in this country. >> look, the small busin
he said the chancellor is sucking the confidence out of the economy. the financial markets seemed e prerelaxed with what we heard yesterday. >> i think the potential markets have factored in now for very many months. the economy here in the uk is flat. it's flat lined. there's no growth. our deficit has been expected to stay high now for many months. the chancellor confirmed yesterday what we've all known for a long time. the national debt is rising year on year. the borrowing is not...
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Mar 25, 2013
03/13
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the economy will have to reinvent itself. the model centering on offshore accounts coming from russia, that is essentially broken. what is next for the economy? >> the offshore banking sector has been broken for the time being. the economy has always arrived on two sectors. tourism will continue, of course. it needs to revive some of the things it's doing. agriculture, light industry, but there isn't much land around to be doing that. so i think what the next business model will be that will employ all of these hundreds of accountants, lawyers, is again going to be business services. we still have a very good corporate cessation. we have very good agreement with other countries. but i'm afraid cyprus will have to forget banks in attracting big deposits on which they make good money. they have to think of other services that businesses are going to need and grow that economy. focus on shipping or trade, that kind of thing. >> economists coming out this morning and saying that this economy could be facing a decline in gdp of mo
the economy will have to reinvent itself. the model centering on offshore accounts coming from russia, that is essentially broken. what is next for the economy? >> the offshore banking sector has been broken for the time being. the economy has always arrived on two sectors. tourism will continue, of course. it needs to revive some of the things it's doing. agriculture, light industry, but there isn't much land around to be doing that. so i think what the next business model will be that...
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Mar 26, 2013
03/13
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economy. china is not a disaster. and if that's the case, i think equity valuation is still -- >> fair enough. >> now, we've got issues, though, right? there's tax hikes coming down the road. we've got obamacare. we had a gallon this show last week, owns a bakery, 50 employees. obamacare is going to wipe out two-thirds of her profit. we have that issue and very iffy operations in washington, d.c. where there could be more tax increases. we got through the sequester. that's good. but, you know, government never leaves us alone. so how much do you think that is going to be reflected inside the stock market, has stocks become too you've forric? >> the health care problem is a big one, an uncertainty. but i'm going argue that fiscal policy has actually improved quite a bit. the reason is because on january 2, they passed -- a tax bill that took away the uncertainty that had been hanging over the bush tax cuts. so they just made a lot of that permanent. and on the spending side, the sequester, as you've pointed out, actual
economy. china is not a disaster. and if that's the case, i think equity valuation is still -- >> fair enough. >> now, we've got issues, though, right? there's tax hikes coming down the road. we've got obamacare. we had a gallon this show last week, owns a bakery, 50 employees. obamacare is going to wipe out two-thirds of her profit. we have that issue and very iffy operations in washington, d.c. where there could be more tax increases. we got through the sequester. that's good....
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Mar 20, 2013
03/13
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i am cautiously optimistic about the economy. it seems as if, despite the unemployment, despite the debt, that consumers are spending, and we are enjoying the same level of success that we've enjoyed the last 12 months in the u.s. business. having said that, i think one has to be incredibly concerned about the fragile nature of western europe, what's happening in cyprus, and other geopolitical issues that ultimately affect the united states. >> what about the minimum wage in this country, howard? is $7.25 enough. lots of pushes to take that up to $9, as president obama has talked about. the average starbucks barista, according to glassdoor website, makes $8.78 an hour. >> well, that's a little misleading, but i'll come back to that. you know, i think the minimum wage issue is a double-edged sword. and what i would not want to see is the minimum wage go up and as a result of that, employers starting to hire less people or cutting people's hours. and you have to be very careful of the unintended consequences. on balance, i am a sup
i am cautiously optimistic about the economy. it seems as if, despite the unemployment, despite the debt, that consumers are spending, and we are enjoying the same level of success that we've enjoyed the last 12 months in the u.s. business. having said that, i think one has to be incredibly concerned about the fragile nature of western europe, what's happening in cyprus, and other geopolitical issues that ultimately affect the united states. >> what about the minimum wage in this country,...
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Mar 25, 2013
03/13
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is it going force the economy into recession? >> oh, deep. deep recession. there are predictions of a decline of more than 10%. it makes up 50% of this economy. it's going to be catastrophic, absolu absolutely. as we saw, the comments about a template are really throwing it in the works, but we seem to be coming back a little bit now. how are the markets realing this? >> it matters whether it is or isn't. i appreciate the attempts to finesse this. then when we got the clarification from his office, which is really him. is it his aide or him? the markets came up. and no models or templates are used. you can see how confused the markets are on this. you can see u.s. financial stocks. but more importantly we also came off the lows in european stocks. these are italian stocks to trade here. ewi is the symbol here. same thing coming right off of the lows. >> bob, thank you so much for that. let's bring in the president of mercadian asset management. let's just move away from cyprus for two seconds. we really need some good news at this point. more than momentum.
is it going force the economy into recession? >> oh, deep. deep recession. there are predictions of a decline of more than 10%. it makes up 50% of this economy. it's going to be catastrophic, absolu absolutely. as we saw, the comments about a template are really throwing it in the works, but we seem to be coming back a little bit now. how are the markets realing this? >> it matters whether it is or isn't. i appreciate the attempts to finesse this. then when we got the clarification...
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Mar 22, 2013
03/13
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that money will trickle down into the economy. you're going to kill it this way. >> it doesn't -- >> the truth is, let me push back on you as well, because is it really fair that if i go into a store i'm paying tax and if i do it online, i'm not? >> it's okay, because the local brick and mortar store is getting the tax benefit of that state. so why should a retailer go ahead and pay tax in a state that they're not in? and it's competition. certain states don't have sales tax and you see businesses going to those states. so let the free market reign out there and stop this madness. >> i'm not so sure it's madness. i think what you're trying to do is, i hate to use the cliche, but level the playing field here. and regardless of whether somebody's getting a service, these are the sorts of things that drive us as consumers, and if there's sales tax applied to the purchase that i make on the internet, that's not going to be the determinant with that suddenly sends me back one way or another. it will be a factor in where i decide to mak
that money will trickle down into the economy. you're going to kill it this way. >> it doesn't -- >> the truth is, let me push back on you as well, because is it really fair that if i go into a store i'm paying tax and if i do it online, i'm not? >> it's okay, because the local brick and mortar store is getting the tax benefit of that state. so why should a retailer go ahead and pay tax in a state that they're not in? and it's competition. certain states don't have sales tax...
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Mar 25, 2013
03/13
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i just had a thought on the economy. if you take a look at unemployment rates, overall, 7.7% is not the worst thing in the world, but four years after the recovery, it should be lower. here's the ones that are killers, and i just want to get your thoughts on how to solve it. teenage employment in the usa, total teenage employment, 25%. overall black employment, 13.8%. and the worst one is teenage black employment, 43%. how in the world can we solve those problems, sir? >> it's going to take a concerted effort. first of all, we as a society need to recognize for every one of those young people we can keep from going on the path of despair, that's one more tax paying productive member of society who may discover a new energy source. so we need to think of ways to invest in them early. that's why we put in reading rooms and all these places to get them interested in reading because we have a 30% high school dropout rate in this country, and this is the information age, the age of technology. there is no way we can afford to
i just had a thought on the economy. if you take a look at unemployment rates, overall, 7.7% is not the worst thing in the world, but four years after the recovery, it should be lower. here's the ones that are killers, and i just want to get your thoughts on how to solve it. teenage employment in the usa, total teenage employment, 25%. overall black employment, 13.8%. and the worst one is teenage black employment, 43%. how in the world can we solve those problems, sir? >> it's going to...
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Mar 20, 2013
03/13
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economy and the continued rise of e-commerce. they go up 8% very much in line with the s&p. >> so you must have bought more this morning. >> no. i mean, we have been a holder of it before christmas. still up over 8%. but look if you're a trader in the stock market, it will still be choppy. but long term, buy on the dip. >> what -- >> i was going to say i disagree, simon, because if you look at the guidance going forward, it trades at 17 times, but still having trouble meeting analyst estimates. what do you see that's going to change on the international revenue front? >> okay, i think it was over the last five years, only two estimates that missed, which is last quarter and this quarter. a big part of that is the miss on guidance. because we know they go through a massive restructuring. so i think the problem isn't identified yet. it's a choppy area. but to be fair to the country and the guidance, you have massive restructuring. you're taking people out of retirement. get massive cost cuts in the area. it will be difficult to giv
economy and the continued rise of e-commerce. they go up 8% very much in line with the s&p. >> so you must have bought more this morning. >> no. i mean, we have been a holder of it before christmas. still up over 8%. but look if you're a trader in the stock market, it will still be choppy. but long term, buy on the dip. >> what -- >> i was going to say i disagree, simon, because if you look at the guidance going forward, it trades at 17 times, but still having...
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Mar 21, 2013
03/13
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it weakens those economies dramatically, weakens those countries. and it also weakens italy. >> you're saying potential contagion. finally, how does it get resolved? michelle is talking about a good bank/bad bank, nobody pays on deposits up to $100,000. the bailout is 10 billion euros from the european -- ecb. the bail-in is about $6 billion euros. so greece is looking for whatever they're looking for, $4 billion, $5 billion. or does europe bail that out even more? >> the biggest factor of all, dan and i were talking a couple minutes ago, the depositors above 100,000 will lose 40% to 50%. >> those are russians. they're going to be pissed off. >> the great systemic problem of giant bank failures is somewhat eliminated by what they're putting forward now. >> what do you think, dan? does this work? >> for our viewers i don't think it matters. the specifics are super interesting, we're going to go have a drink. what matters to people at home, what matters to the larger story is we decided that people's property in banks was not their own. >> in europe o
it weakens those economies dramatically, weakens those countries. and it also weakens italy. >> you're saying potential contagion. finally, how does it get resolved? michelle is talking about a good bank/bad bank, nobody pays on deposits up to $100,000. the bailout is 10 billion euros from the european -- ecb. the bail-in is about $6 billion euros. so greece is looking for whatever they're looking for, $4 billion, $5 billion. or does europe bail that out even more? >> the biggest...
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Mar 19, 2013
03/13
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falling behind china in the global economy. that's your book right there. i told you the title is not one that you will forget. if you have little ears, cover them. how is it going right now? there are sensitive issues on the agenda. >> it's an extremely sensitive time and it's important that the first foreign dignitary that president jinping since last september when defense secretary panetta made a trip. >> that's not frequent enough for you? >> that relationship management is nowhere intense enough. by the way, it's important to note that the first foreign trip that president xi is making is to russia with president putin. we have to build a dialogue. this hacking thing has gotten serious for three reasons. one, the number of hacks have grown dramatically. >> and you trace it to china? >> yes. >> and number two, the severity of where they are going. they have literally tried to hack into pipeline companies, in our national grid. and third, to the point you make, there are very direct pointing to groups like the comet group in shanghai and the chinese pla
falling behind china in the global economy. that's your book right there. i told you the title is not one that you will forget. if you have little ears, cover them. how is it going right now? there are sensitive issues on the agenda. >> it's an extremely sensitive time and it's important that the first foreign dignitary that president jinping since last september when defense secretary panetta made a trip. >> that's not frequent enough for you? >> that relationship management...
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Mar 26, 2013
03/13
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i don't think the economy looas. when i loon look look under the hood of the data, when you take out the boeing anomaly, you had a decline. consumer confidence is atrocious. oracle, fedex, caterpillar. they have not been good. maybe they're stock specific, maybe they're company specific. as we get into earnings season, we will find out more. and europe is not fixed. it is a big, big problem. it is just quiet for a little bit. >> what are you doing? shorting the s&p? shorting individual names ? >> shorting the s&p. short housing here. xhp. you saw yesterday usg was down 10% because of checks talking about how the price increases aren't going to be able to come through. when you start to see stuff like that, the story starts to deteriorate. >> how much can you put in channel checks? housing has recovered. housing remains pretty strong. case-shiller was another metric. >> not only case-shiller but core logic showed 9.7% -- >> these stocks are trading at levels that are above the 2007, 2005 high when we were in the middl
i don't think the economy looas. when i loon look look under the hood of the data, when you take out the boeing anomaly, you had a decline. consumer confidence is atrocious. oracle, fedex, caterpillar. they have not been good. maybe they're stock specific, maybe they're company specific. as we get into earnings season, we will find out more. and europe is not fixed. it is a big, big problem. it is just quiet for a little bit. >> what are you doing? shorting the s&p? shorting...
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Mar 25, 2013
03/13
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the economy, even the sequester. the def is icit as well. these are the things that a multi-facetted investor thinks about. >> well, i'm very passionate about this stuff. i believe that our government should intertwine the education and economy in one package nape should almost be places that are merged together in how they respond to things. we no longer have the luxury of having our economy and what we do on that side separate from the educational side. let me be very specific. right now there's probably approximately 20% unemployment rate if you're not a high school graduate in this country. that's approximately 5% if you're a college graduate. one other very telling statistic, 75% of young americans between the ages of 17 and 24 cannot even enlist in the military because there are three requireme requirements, high school graduate, no criminal record and you have to be physically fit. that to me are the problems we need to focus on instead of being so focused on what the employment rate is today but how do we fix it in the long term? >>
the economy, even the sequester. the def is icit as well. these are the things that a multi-facetted investor thinks about. >> well, i'm very passionate about this stuff. i believe that our government should intertwine the education and economy in one package nape should almost be places that are merged together in how they respond to things. we no longer have the luxury of having our economy and what we do on that side separate from the educational side. let me be very specific. right...
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Mar 21, 2013
03/13
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they are such an integral part of what moves stuff in the economy. airlines are doing very well, but others are not. fedex, just an example of that. does that trouble you for the market here? >> yeah, it does trouble me. and going forward, we're going to watch those earnings closely, but you need a good transportation sector. we've had a nice little push, but now it seems to be getting a little weak. >> at the end of the day, $100 million for stocks for sale earlier. not a major number, but what are you expecting as we close out this day, down 86 points? does this get worse in the next minute? >> it could get a little worse. all the negative things considered, things aren't bad, down 80, 90 points at the end of the day. >> i'm going to go. we've got some numbers after the close. nike, we're waiting on, second hour of the "closing bell." see you tomorrow. alan, good to talk to you. >> you're skeptical on this rally? >> i am. >> is there a level that you need to get down to and you'll want to get back into this market again? >> you know, it is. it's fu
they are such an integral part of what moves stuff in the economy. airlines are doing very well, but others are not. fedex, just an example of that. does that trouble you for the market here? >> yeah, it does trouble me. and going forward, we're going to watch those earnings closely, but you need a good transportation sector. we've had a nice little push, but now it seems to be getting a little weak. >> at the end of the day, $100 million for stocks for sale earlier. not a major...
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Mar 20, 2013
03/13
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but these two kind of the backbones of our economy. we have to keep our eyes and so many more of the transport stocks going forward. >> oracle now down about 7%. we'll get the updates from jon fortt later on in the show. ben bernanke, keeping the easy money and the rally for that matter going for now pushing the s&p 500 closer to an all-time high. let's get straight to the traders here. and dr. j. john najarian is also joining us here onset. we are points away from the s&p 500 hitting the all-time closing high. what's your guess on when that happens? >> if it weren't for oracle, it would have been early in the morning tomorrow. and even with oracle, i think the market still has enough gas, melissa to get past that. but to j.j.'s point and everyone on the desk, i agree there are some in the armor. not to push the market down, but to keep the fed in that tight box, that is exactly where the fed is. they're stuck, they can't get out of this now. if you were looking for an early exit, ain't happening, folks. not happening, not getting out
but these two kind of the backbones of our economy. we have to keep our eyes and so many more of the transport stocks going forward. >> oracle now down about 7%. we'll get the updates from jon fortt later on in the show. ben bernanke, keeping the easy money and the rally for that matter going for now pushing the s&p 500 closer to an all-time high. let's get straight to the traders here. and dr. j. john najarian is also joining us here onset. we are points away from the s&p 500...
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Mar 22, 2013
03/13
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the economy will grow 8.5% this year and maybe more on the next. while praising beijing, he also highlighted the financial sector and urbanization as key areas for reform. eunice yoon can all caught up with secretary general angel lahoria. their conversation quickly switched to cyprus. >> what's happening in cyprus is not indicative of what's happening in the world, not indicative of what's happening in the euro area. in cyprus, there was a peculiar situation. the government could not rescue the banking system. there should have been losses accrued to the critters of the banks who took risk webs but there was a formula where they tried to sort of keep everybody more or less unhappy, but they created a very bad package which, obviously, is proving untenable. they're not going to have to fix it. >> but how can they fix it? >> well, the eu has given the cypriots up until next monday to come up with an alternative because apparently this package of 6.5% for those below 100,000 and 9.9% to those above is 00,000 was something that was decided by the cypr
the economy will grow 8.5% this year and maybe more on the next. while praising beijing, he also highlighted the financial sector and urbanization as key areas for reform. eunice yoon can all caught up with secretary general angel lahoria. their conversation quickly switched to cyprus. >> what's happening in cyprus is not indicative of what's happening in the world, not indicative of what's happening in the euro area. in cyprus, there was a peculiar situation. the government could not...
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Mar 19, 2013
03/13
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but yet the economy's improving. isn't that the perfect state for what you guys want to do in the market? >> it is. and i think the fed's going to give us the cover tomorrow, because they are going to acknowledge the improvement in the economic data. but i think they'll use the cover of a weather snap-back, the cover of maybe this is just temporary because we're soaring inventories are contributing. so i think they use that cover to remain overtly dubbish. >> are they getting better? >> probably not in those words. >> isn't that what you're going to interpret, though? >> they'll say continue buying. there's no risk if there's tightening anytime soon. the u.s. is the most attractive market, and that's the bottom line. europe, it's not china. >> here's where the rubber hits the road. >> who failed? >> you and baker. it's bernanke. rhymes with yankee. >> hold on. >> i know you're british accent. >> it's english, my man. >> you have less of an excuse. >> i'm from long island. >> you have an excuse a lot more than that, j
but yet the economy's improving. isn't that the perfect state for what you guys want to do in the market? >> it is. and i think the fed's going to give us the cover tomorrow, because they are going to acknowledge the improvement in the economic data. but i think they'll use the cover of a weather snap-back, the cover of maybe this is just temporary because we're soaring inventories are contributing. so i think they use that cover to remain overtly dubbish. >> are they getting...
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Mar 22, 2013
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this is the way our economy works. how do you tell us to run our business? they didn't want the millionaires and the billionaires taxed either so it's very much engrained in the society. >> and just proves once again that there's no such thing as a free lunch. great footage and great reporting. should investors here, for example, in the united states start to pay more attention to what's happening in cyprus? let's ask the chief investment strategist at raymond james. what do you think, jeff? you're a smart guy. >> the stock market is telling you the cyprus thing is going to be a non-event at least so far, that it's not going to have collateral damage into the rest of europe and that the earnings in this country are still going to come along pretty good, and we won't be pulled into a recession by what's going on in europe. >> what would you be doing then, just putting it aside as noise and just investing on other things, you know, like corporate profits and fundamentals in the economy? >> yeah. i think that's right, mandy. i think that the earnings are going
this is the way our economy works. how do you tell us to run our business? they didn't want the millionaires and the billionaires taxed either so it's very much engrained in the society. >> and just proves once again that there's no such thing as a free lunch. great footage and great reporting. should investors here, for example, in the united states start to pay more attention to what's happening in cyprus? let's ask the chief investment strategist at raymond james. what do you think,...
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Mar 21, 2013
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the europe is 25% of the global economy. it's china's largest customer, so when we talk about all these things and we talk about whether or not ali baba is going to do well, and you've got to be a bull on china, you have to question that thesis when you see something like france down 1.5% today. >> yeah. >> quickly. >> and i'll take small exception right here because over the past month the u.s. is up barely 3%. germany is up 4.5%. france is up 4.3%. that's as of right now, so over the past month they are outperforming. that's not telling me these guys are stopping and hitting the brakes hard. that tells me there's a little churn going on and that's it. >> all right. coming up on "the half," housing a bright spot in the recovery, no doubt, but is the hot run about to cool off? we're going to talk to a man who says it actually might happen when "halftime" comes back. ♪ [ cows moo ] [ sizzling ] more rain... [ thunder rumbles ] ♪ [ male announcer ] when the world moves... futures move first. learn futures from experienced
the europe is 25% of the global economy. it's china's largest customer, so when we talk about all these things and we talk about whether or not ali baba is going to do well, and you've got to be a bull on china, you have to question that thesis when you see something like france down 1.5% today. >> yeah. >> quickly. >> and i'll take small exception right here because over the past month the u.s. is up barely 3%. germany is up 4.5%. france is up 4.3%. that's as of right now, so...
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these would be the economy to me. and then i look at the housing permits, and i look at the bills, and i look at lennar and i think, boy, the fed has a tough job, just a tough job because a lot of the economy is terrible. employment is not that great but mortgage rates are so low that people are building houses again. they have a tough job. i don't know how they're going to pull it off. >> there's so much data to sift through. it's hard to know what to latch onto. >> let's talk about cyprus. the interest rates were headed higher. if
these would be the economy to me. and then i look at the housing permits, and i look at the bills, and i look at lennar and i think, boy, the fed has a tough job, just a tough job because a lot of the economy is terrible. employment is not that great but mortgage rates are so low that people are building houses again. they have a tough job. i don't know how they're going to pull it off. >> there's so much data to sift through. it's hard to know what to latch onto. >> let's talk...
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Mar 18, 2013
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we're in a situation where the economy is improving. earnings are going to do better than people pecked. remember shs we had a lot of negativity about what was going to happen this year. we're in a situation where if the economy doesn't do better than we get more qe. if it does improve, then the economy sim proves. earnings are better. everything goes up no matter what. >> bob, goldman is not the only one who has done it. other analyst, independents and others have done the same thing. >> key thing is gdp numbers were raised. retail sales numbers were better than expected. i think john's right. they'll do that with s&p numbers, although i haven't seen a lot. the only other one is isi. they had 1668 and now at 1690. they raised it. >> this is very healthy thing. we want the s&p to be going up based on stronger earnings. not just based on financial magic. that's what seems to be happening. great. >> mayor bloomberg is good for a topic here. he's decided he's going to ban cigarette advertising in the city establishments, keep all tobacco p
we're in a situation where the economy is improving. earnings are going to do better than people pecked. remember shs we had a lot of negativity about what was going to happen this year. we're in a situation where if the economy doesn't do better than we get more qe. if it does improve, then the economy sim proves. earnings are better. everything goes up no matter what. >> bob, goldman is not the only one who has done it. other analyst, independents and others have done the same thing....
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Mar 26, 2013
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what is for sure, tyler, is the economy here will contract significantly. anywhere between 10% and 30%. they'll contract the financial sector, which is up until now, 50% of the economy. that's why all those people are protesting. they know what's coming. it's going to be painful. >> michelle caruso-cabrera, thank you very much. sue, down to you. >> ty, goldman sachs, one of the big stocks to watch today. let's look at the stock. it's up about 15% so far this year. the investment bank will have a new top ten shareholder soon, with the stock down just a fraction today of a percent at 14585. that new shareholder in a big ware, warren buffett. our mary thompson is here with more. >> buffett's future ranks among shareholders is borne from a crisis era deal that help to shore up goldman in 2008. where he ultimately lands in the ranks will depending on the share price. the two sides amending the original agreement, saving buffett to shem out money he would have -- and saving goldman from diluting its existing shareholders. here is how it works. in exchange for the
what is for sure, tyler, is the economy here will contract significantly. anywhere between 10% and 30%. they'll contract the financial sector, which is up until now, 50% of the economy. that's why all those people are protesting. they know what's coming. it's going to be painful. >> michelle caruso-cabrera, thank you very much. sue, down to you. >> ty, goldman sachs, one of the big stocks to watch today. let's look at the stock. it's up about 15% so far this year. the investment...
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rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. >>> welcome back to the program. european markets are start to go drift lower again. the ftse mib is down 2%. the dax in germany holding up better. the ftse 1100, too. fwank stocks mostly taking it on the chin, though. whether we're talking about spain where bbva is down 3.7%, banco santander down 3%. it looks as though declines in the banks are leading this next leg lower. here is a quick look at what's on this week's agenda as we turn our attention to the u.s. the national association of home builders releases its march index today. the pboc meeting starts tuesday with tons of data for thursday including manufacturing index for march, the philly fed survey and is leading economic indicators. with all that to run throu
rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. >>> welcome back to the program. european markets are start to go drift lower again. the ftse mib is down 2%. the dax in germany holding up better....
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Mar 22, 2013
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it's a smart way to go and if you want this economy to realize anything close to its full potential, it's the only way to go. that will do it for us tonight. thank you for joining me. have a great weekend. "fast money" begins right now. >>> live from the nasdaq market site in new york city's times square, i'm melissa lee. here's what "fast" is following on this friday night. deal or no deal. should investors care? why the cyprus crisis isn't a deal breaker for the rally. winners and losers. a look at the biggest pops and drops, plus how you can trade one of the week's biggest buzz kills. and coal whiners. are there finally some diamonds in the rough that you should be buying? but first, we want to turn to michelle carew sew cabrera for breaking news on the ground in cyprus. michelle? >> they are voting, finally, in the cyprus parliament tonight on some key legislation that would allow them to wind down the banks and hopefully meet the environments of the european central bank and the deadline set by monday. so, that way, the official system within this country can stay functioning th
it's a smart way to go and if you want this economy to realize anything close to its full potential, it's the only way to go. that will do it for us tonight. thank you for joining me. have a great weekend. "fast money" begins right now. >>> live from the nasdaq market site in new york city's times square, i'm melissa lee. here's what "fast" is following on this friday night. deal or no deal. should investors care? why the cyprus crisis isn't a deal breaker for the...
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Mar 21, 2013
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economy is improving. good news for stock prices. some worry that earnings season may disappoint and trigger a sell-off. but i would expect that to be met with the buy on the dip mentality. we've already seen some earnings cracks. fed skpex oracle each reporting disappointments this week. those stocks took big hits as a result. does that indicate a weakness coming for transport? more will be revealed in the next two weeks with the earnings avalanche soon to kick in. but as investors wait for answers, they're asking the question, where is the growth in the world today? emerging markets fbl under pressure after outperforming for more than a decade. as money comes out of u.s. stocks, it will find a home in places like mexico, where stocks are starting to show real strength as well. many think reforms there will be bullish for investors. and smart money may keep heading south for returns in brazil or colombia. that is not to say the buy in the dip for the u.s. markets won't continue. i believe it will. but with a 10% gain in stocks so fa
economy is improving. good news for stock prices. some worry that earnings season may disappoint and trigger a sell-off. but i would expect that to be met with the buy on the dip mentality. we've already seen some earnings cracks. fed skpex oracle each reporting disappointments this week. those stocks took big hits as a result. does that indicate a weakness coming for transport? more will be revealed in the next two weeks with the earnings avalanche soon to kick in. but as investors wait for...
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Mar 26, 2013
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you can't predict the economy's robust. right thou, the transports are continuing to, unfortunately, tell us that it is a slow growth/no growth economy unless you're either fracking, you're intermodal or e-commerce. >> do the transports still move on that? >> they do to a certain degree but, you know, the bottom line is that all transports have gotten much, much better. >> yeah, yeah. >> that takes a lot of it out of it. >> but if we bring up that chart again, is that fedex? when did this happen on the transports? because it did -- >> fedex. >> fedex to a certain degree, but you know, there was another big player that got shot across the bow that day and that was caterpillar the. >> that was who? >> caterpillar. >> that is not a transport, though. >> yeah. but it's a big industrial. it's a global industrial. they said 13% down sales, they said 25% down in the region. >> so, if we're using the transports as a gauge to the economy, is the fed wrong? are we not going to get the kind of growth that people are expecting at this
you can't predict the economy's robust. right thou, the transports are continuing to, unfortunately, tell us that it is a slow growth/no growth economy unless you're either fracking, you're intermodal or e-commerce. >> do the transports still move on that? >> they do to a certain degree but, you know, the bottom line is that all transports have gotten much, much better. >> yeah, yeah. >> that takes a lot of it out of it. >> but if we bring up that chart again, is...
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economy. caterpillar, oracle, not just u.s. economy, but the global economy. europe is very, very weak. was going to happen in emerging markets, china, i think is questionable. so i just think there's a lot of question marks out there and the market is not pricing that in right now. >> no. that's a really good point. scott, i guess the federal reserve sees a lot of those question marks, too. they made the point that they don't want to get into a situation where they pullback too quickly because they don't want to see something that's unsustainable gains in the labor market. i guess that's the good news if anybody is waiting for anything is that the fed is still standing by. >> i think what the fed had to say is essentially bullish for everything in the world except for change. because they don't seem like they want to make any changes except for the news that mr. bernanke has now had a conversation with the president about his tenure. and it seems more likely than ever that his term will come to an end in january. unfortunately, it's going no be just about the
economy. caterpillar, oracle, not just u.s. economy, but the global economy. europe is very, very weak. was going to happen in emerging markets, china, i think is questionable. so i just think there's a lot of question marks out there and the market is not pricing that in right now. >> no. that's a really good point. scott, i guess the federal reserve sees a lot of those question marks, too. they made the point that they don't want to get into a situation where they pullback too quickly...
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Mar 21, 2013
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we like cyclical areas, the economy, reliant steel, i mentioned, which we think is part of the u.s. manufacturing renaissance. we like china here, too, which has been through a big bear market, just starting to come back out of it. our numbers indicate china is going to be recovering the second half of the year and going on a bigger growth. air china is a great stock, we think. two or three times cash flow. 40% off its highs from just a couple years ago. >> and jack, to wrap it up, you guys both just recommended financials, we're watching what's going on in cyprus. do the weakness in european banks benefit our banks at all? >> i would say in general, it does. you know, it certainly puts the u.s. in a better light. it puts the u.s. banking system in a better light. you know, while we're certainly not out of equities, in fact, we're overweight high volatility asset classes, you know, i would prefer to at least at this stage, you know, make our money here at home. >> got it. relatively speaking. looking better. thank you very much, jack and steve. and by the way, we're sitting around s
we like cyclical areas, the economy, reliant steel, i mentioned, which we think is part of the u.s. manufacturing renaissance. we like china here, too, which has been through a big bear market, just starting to come back out of it. our numbers indicate china is going to be recovering the second half of the year and going on a bigger growth. air china is a great stock, we think. two or three times cash flow. 40% off its highs from just a couple years ago. >> and jack, to wrap it up, you...
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economy's improving. but we still have fundamental issues in the structure of our economy, imbalances. we are not out of the woods yet. we're not in self-sustaining recovery. we need to start to see that to become increasingly more bullish on the financial markets. >> that was really good. you're a good double act. we should have you on more. thank you both. brian and chad. have great days. >>> seven years ago today twitter co-founder jack dorsey sent the first tweet writing just setting up my twitter. since then the media giant has become a staple for millions. it has transformed the way people communicate so what could twitter do in the next seven years? tweet us @squawkstreet. >>> the market is accelerating downward, now down 67 points. let's get a "market flash" from josh back at hq. >> juniper networks is under pressure this morning. analysts at fbr not fans saying we are the end of an era as routers and switches are set to decline. fbr downgrades juniper and cisco toeon perform. the company's fbr sa
economy's improving. but we still have fundamental issues in the structure of our economy, imbalances. we are not out of the woods yet. we're not in self-sustaining recovery. we need to start to see that to become increasingly more bullish on the financial markets. >> that was really good. you're a good double act. we should have you on more. thank you both. brian and chad. have great days. >>> seven years ago today twitter co-founder jack dorsey sent the first tweet writing just...
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Mar 20, 2013
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the economy is improving. we get to the next problem with is building up the balance sheet in a way that will make it hard to tighten when they need to tighten. >> the fact is you're siding with santelli over me but in a more polite way. one of the keys to what you're saying and i have a counter to this, maybe let you say it which is that you think the issue of taking money away from savers by lowering interest rates is something that hurts the economy and consumer spending more than lower interest rates create spending and helps the economy. >> yes. because first of all if you look at consumer interest income and consumer interest expense, consumers actually have more interest bearing assets an they do interest bearing liabilities. the key is liabilities are fixed rate at this stage or most are because of fixed rate mortgages. if you allow interest rates to go up, you push more none inmon the consumer sector than your cost to consumer sector and older americans live off cds and if you push up the income more,
the economy is improving. we get to the next problem with is building up the balance sheet in a way that will make it hard to tighten when they need to tighten. >> the fact is you're siding with santelli over me but in a more polite way. one of the keys to what you're saying and i have a counter to this, maybe let you say it which is that you think the issue of taking money away from savers by lowering interest rates is something that hurts the economy and consumer spending more than...
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Mar 18, 2013
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, consumption economy doing well on strong dollar and down oil. >> keith here. looking at financials. great call. i love the way you switched the call and got long on this market. you have one name you guys are focused on you think can lead the financials? >> bank of america because we're so bullish on housing. our call on housing is people aren't bullish enough. we go to the spring selling season we think 25% on existing homes. >> that's the music. we have to go because the european close is coming up. >>> coming up on halftime, sleeper threats to the rally. what else is lurking beneath the surface that could shake the bears out of hibernation. just 2:39 seconds away, we have it covered. keep it here. investor. yeah, i'm a serious investor but i'm a busy guy. it used to be easier but now there are more choices than ever. i want to know exactly what i am investing in. i want to know exactly how much i'm paying. i want to use the same stuff the big guys use. find out why nine out of ten large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares by blackr
, consumption economy doing well on strong dollar and down oil. >> keith here. looking at financials. great call. i love the way you switched the call and got long on this market. you have one name you guys are focused on you think can lead the financials? >> bank of america because we're so bullish on housing. our call on housing is people aren't bullish enough. we go to the spring selling season we think 25% on existing homes. >> that's the music. we have to go because the...
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Mar 25, 2013
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right now i think the economy is sort of drifting along. i think there is fits and spurts but i think everybody is preparing for the future at this point. >> in terms of your own specific business, college trends, demographics, admission rates. >> yeah. >> some positive, some negative? >> three years ago was sort of the peak of the number of students that were going to college so the demographics have changed. the challenges still remain, however, which is college tuition has gone up. seats in classes have gone down. so there's an increased push in something everyone in the state of mississippi which i love, they're one of the ones push for accepting online courses with accredit tags. the reason for that is if you're one of these, for example, the california state school which are excellent schools you can't get into a 101 class. it's going to take you five years to graduate instead of four, it's more money. why t not take it online to get credit for it. there's so much transformation going on i think the next three or four years are going
right now i think the economy is sort of drifting along. i think there is fits and spurts but i think everybody is preparing for the future at this point. >> in terms of your own specific business, college trends, demographics, admission rates. >> yeah. >> some positive, some negative? >> three years ago was sort of the peak of the number of students that were going to college so the demographics have changed. the challenges still remain, however, which is college...
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Mar 22, 2013
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banking system, to be as large relative to our economy as the cyprus banking system is to their economy, we would need 45 more jpmorgans in order to have that sizes of the economy. there's somewhere else comparable. the only place they could go was deposits. the big mistake was going after uninsurance -- i mean insured deposits. >> i think i told that from you. that is a good point, but i think i stole it from you. >> the serendipitous part of this for me is that all the countries that are in trouble are like in southern europe for you. you're not in finland, you're not if poland. all the trouble is -- >> beautiful places, joe. >> that's good. that's really good. and then when i said -- >> i do frequently say to myself thank goodness this isn't happening in azurbashaun. >> you have to get there. you're doing it for us and we really appreciate it. >> wait, wait. if this country does leave the euro, we want to see that. we want to document that. >> no, i was just saying because it's not affecting our markets doesn't mean that you shouldn't be there. and we're glad that you are there. >> r
banking system, to be as large relative to our economy as the cyprus banking system is to their economy, we would need 45 more jpmorgans in order to have that sizes of the economy. there's somewhere else comparable. the only place they could go was deposits. the big mistake was going after uninsurance -- i mean insured deposits. >> i think i told that from you. that is a good point, but i think i stole it from you. >> the serendipitous part of this for me is that all the countries...
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we're talking about an economy on the brink potentially of collapse. how far might the dominos fall? >>> domino's. i like domino's sugar, but i like milk a lot. i drink a lot of milk. you got money? you got milk? the milk industry as an utterly big problem on its hands. think about it. >>> and new costs. they may be about to get passed on to you in the milk market. the stock market has taken a hit, sue. >> i'm laughing at the "udderly," and it's utterly ridiculous that some things down here are focusing on. we're down a little bit but not as much as one would think given all the headline risk you outlined. the dow jones industrial average is off 54 points, the s&p is off 6. the nasdaq off about 18. gold has a little bounce, 5 bucks or so, and west texas intermediate is trading down about a buck on the trading session. u.s. markets falling due to some less-than-stellar corporate reports in the last 24 # hours. it's also worth noting that european stocks traded lower today on weaker than expected manufacturing data. and, of course, we're basically down f
we're talking about an economy on the brink potentially of collapse. how far might the dominos fall? >>> domino's. i like domino's sugar, but i like milk a lot. i drink a lot of milk. you got money? you got milk? the milk industry as an utterly big problem on its hands. think about it. >>> and new costs. they may be about to get passed on to you in the milk market. the stock market has taken a hit, sue. >> i'm laughing at the "udderly," and it's utterly...
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>> i think the economy's getting better. i think the job market is getting better and the housing market is getting better, but i don't think the fed sees it that way. i think the fed sees the employment to population ratio. you have virtually no recovery in the last three or four years. you look at labor force participation and that's down. so they're very, very comfortable, i think in maintaining this easy policy because they think that's what's needed to keep this recovery going, and i think they're going to be comfortable because core inflation is 1.5% year on year. >> i think there's a possibility of more dovish. we're not sure that the data is sound. maybe there will be giveback in the spring and if he starts mentioning the sequester and the need to hang in there with full force, that, ironically, could be very positive for this market. >> absolutely. i think his statements today, the press conference will be very dovish. he can point to downside risks and lump cyprus into that scenario and maintain this easy stance. t
>> i think the economy's getting better. i think the job market is getting better and the housing market is getting better, but i don't think the fed sees it that way. i think the fed sees the employment to population ratio. you have virtually no recovery in the last three or four years. you look at labor force participation and that's down. so they're very, very comfortable, i think in maintaining this easy policy because they think that's what's needed to keep this recovery going, and i...
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Mar 18, 2013
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rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. >>> take a look at futures. the dow looks like it would open off about 103 points. fass dak would be off about 32 points and the s&p 500 off about 16 points. making headlines this morning, beyond cyprus, airbus is landing a record order of jets from indonesia's lion air. the deal is for $24 billion for 234 planes. also today, president obama is going to be nominating thomas perez to head the labor department. >> we wondered. >> an airplane guy. >> if we were going to pull back, we wondered where it was going to come from. but this doesn't change that we're still -- the dollar has been thrown away, the best house in the neighborhood, things here are still going better. so the question is, does europe still have the -- >>
rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. >>> take a look at futures. the dow looks like it would open off about 103 points. fass dak would be off about 32 points and the s&p 500 off...
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Mar 19, 2013
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economy our main problem is nobody is really talking about job creation. that the biggest threat that we're facing to the future is the fact that we still have really 25 million people unemployed or underemployed. that's a much more serious problem. >> the fed is talking about it. >> washington is not focused on it. and the whole sequester debate, the real crisis is the jobs crisis. ironically when people leave office they begin to talk about it. like samuels. he's been talking more about the fastest way to reduce the deficit is to grow the economy. >> right. arianna is going to be sticking around. we'll continue this conversation after a short break. >> coming up, mindful leadership. today's corporate leaders will try to increase innovation, productivity and wellness among employees. and money madness is here. we're looking at some of the most widely held stocks and letting you know which will come out at the end of the year. and two mobile giants. "squawk box" will be right back. [ laughter ] ♪ [ female announcer ] each one of us is our own boss. ♪ a
economy our main problem is nobody is really talking about job creation. that the biggest threat that we're facing to the future is the fact that we still have really 25 million people unemployed or underemployed. that's a much more serious problem. >> the fed is talking about it. >> washington is not focused on it. and the whole sequester debate, the real crisis is the jobs crisis. ironically when people leave office they begin to talk about it. like samuels. he's been talking more...
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i guess the ceo was saying this because if the economy is strong, that's why the rates will rise. >> what do you buy into? good for housing or bad for housing? >> i'm not going to say. >> better for housing. one thing negative about the fed's action is they told people zero rates and for a long period of time. let's move now. if you see mortgage rates go up they're going miss the boat and near going to try to get on as they are leaving the dock. >> okay. thank you very much. >> they have to come up. they do have to come up with better criteria to lend on though. if they raise rates and had better criteria, wasn't so difficult to get a loan, more people would be able to pay that rate. >> drew, tanya, thank you for for joining us. >>> mandy is going to us a trail gentleman next week. going back home for the first time in a while. we're going to talk about currencies because we want to know, will mandy's u.s. dollar paycheck go further or just get slaughtered in melbourne next week. >>> in the meantime, jpmorgan losing the faith of his board, the inside story coming right your way. [ fe
i guess the ceo was saying this because if the economy is strong, that's why the rates will rise. >> what do you buy into? good for housing or bad for housing? >> i'm not going to say. >> better for housing. one thing negative about the fed's action is they told people zero rates and for a long period of time. let's move now. if you see mortgage rates go up they're going miss the boat and near going to try to get on as they are leaving the dock. >> okay. thank you very...
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economy right now? >> also, two huge interviews still to come. meredith whitney tells us why she's very bullish on one of wall street's biggest banks and right now. and cit group chairman and ceo john thain reacts to the rumor that will not go away. namely that his company has been shopping for a suitor. john will try and lay those fears aside once again, those rumors. >> a look at where we stand as we approach this final stretch, final hour of the day. dow jones industrial down about 26 points. had been down 110. we are well off of the lows. nasdaq looks like this. also pretty volatile in the afternoon here. as you can see, it is down about five points at 3243. s&p 500 really similar move here. down five points. equities showing great resilience, pushing back from a triple digit loss today. will the crisis abroad keep the markets in jeopardy? >> you had to be named steve to be on the panel today for the most part. steven water from russell investments, steve sacks. steve liesman is with us. and then there's that guy santelli who joins us daily a
economy right now? >> also, two huge interviews still to come. meredith whitney tells us why she's very bullish on one of wall street's biggest banks and right now. and cit group chairman and ceo john thain reacts to the rumor that will not go away. namely that his company has been shopping for a suitor. john will try and lay those fears aside once again, those rumors. >> a look at where we stand as we approach this final stretch, final hour of the day. dow jones industrial down...
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i don't see an economy that's a world economy that is growing. it could generate easily 5% to 6% earnings growth given what we've cut to the bone in corporations. >> the economy has nothing to do with it stipes. we still aren't doing efficiencies put in place. earnings were supposed to stop growing and they have not stopped growing and we're still surprised on bounce and there's still an upward slope on forward earnings expectations and my guess is it will be more right in the multiple. >> because of europe, i think multiples are ephemeral things. they sort of come and go and it's what we think at any given time. earnings are earnings >> in terms of the sectors that will lead us to 2000. by the way, i'm curious, how often do you make projects that go so far and how often are they close to reality? >> i changed them by the time we get there. >> oh, good man. to be honest it's not that far. it's the end of next year and it's not a seven-year projection and we are pushing it to get there. it's a symbolic thing and we're trying to show that the marke
i don't see an economy that's a world economy that is growing. it could generate easily 5% to 6% earnings growth given what we've cut to the bone in corporations. >> the economy has nothing to do with it stipes. we still aren't doing efficiencies put in place. earnings were supposed to stop growing and they have not stopped growing and we're still surprised on bounce and there's still an upward slope on forward earnings expectations and my guess is it will be more right in the multiple....
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economy is improving. the backdrop of the financial crisis is keeping worldwide central banks very loose in their policy so as a result we should expect a very easy fed and in my 30 years of managing money when the fed is on your side on the long side, that is a positive situation. >> all right. great to talk to you, chuck. thanks so much. some of your top other holdings, objection dental, jpmorgan and pfizer. congratulations on being called the ultimate stock picker. >> thank you very much and have a good day. >> you do the same. let's get to josh lipton now who is at the markets desk for a check on what's working right now. >> check out darden restaurants. we're showing a bit of green here. reported results basically in line with the street's lowered estimates. remember, the company whose chains include olive garden and red lobster cut its third quarter and full-year forecast last month citing higher taxes and gas prices. the stock right now up about 1.2%. scott, back to you. >> josh, thank you. coming u
economy is improving. the backdrop of the financial crisis is keeping worldwide central banks very loose in their policy so as a result we should expect a very easy fed and in my 30 years of managing money when the fed is on your side on the long side, that is a positive situation. >> all right. great to talk to you, chuck. thanks so much. some of your top other holdings, objection dental, jpmorgan and pfizer. congratulations on being called the ultimate stock picker. >> thank you...
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eight times the side of the economy. if you look at the size of the bailout needed it is unprecedented. eig italy and spain don't even come close to the bank bailout. we used to think spain might need a bailout of 10% of gdp for its banks. can you imagine, that's huge. in cyprus is we're talking 60% of gdp so it's outsized. >> michelle caruso-cabrera, thanks so much for that. 60% of it relies on its banking system and 30% of its deposits are from non-uri on countries. >> it is roughly two-thirds of exxon mobil's capital spending. >> there are people who have missed this move, people who missed it for 6,000 point, 3,000 points and they will point out that is irrelevant, the size of the gdp and this is the next big thing and people will tell you you ought to take your money out of j.p. morgan chase. these are people who have a terrific motive. they have got to catch up with the averages. at the same time, stocks are pretty extended so it's a great excuse. i was going use the fed as a great excuse, but now we have cyprus. i
eight times the side of the economy. if you look at the size of the bailout needed it is unprecedented. eig italy and spain don't even come close to the bank bailout. we used to think spain might need a bailout of 10% of gdp for its banks. can you imagine, that's huge. in cyprus is we're talking 60% of gdp so it's outsized. >> michelle caruso-cabrera, thanks so much for that. 60% of it relies on its banking system and 30% of its deposits are from non-uri on countries. >> it is...
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the economy is going better. the boom in collectibles goes far beyond art and cars and things we talk about usually. comic books selling typically for $1 million or more for the prized batman and spider man. so this reaches way beyond the usual categories. >> it's anything of limited supply that you cannot go back. why is it called a jumbo? >> i i think because it's in perfect condition front and back, graded five or higher. there are only three of these. it's unclear what it will sell for. the last one sold during the heat of the fm crisis. again in the seven figures. this one is already up to 1.4. bidders have a chance to bid on this thing. it will probably gost past $3 million. zl come back and let us know how it goes. >> i will, i will. >> scott, thank you very much. >> it's been a pleasure. it's been real fun. >> thank you very much. we'll see you at the halftime report. if you're just tuning in good morning. this is what you've missed so far. >> welcome to hour three of "squawk on the street." here's what's
the economy is going better. the boom in collectibles goes far beyond art and cars and things we talk about usually. comic books selling typically for $1 million or more for the prized batman and spider man. so this reaches way beyond the usual categories. >> it's anything of limited supply that you cannot go back. why is it called a jumbo? >> i i think because it's in perfect condition front and back, graded five or higher. there are only three of these. it's unclear what it will...
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been really silent since saying the budget sequester will produce very big lay-offs and a weakened economy. he's gone radio silent. we know next week that will be the week when the president will most likely use his podium to talk about how horrible sequestration will be, because it kicks in at the end of the month. perhaps the excellent jobless numbers we got this morning will be the last good one if it's as bad as obama scares us into thinking it is. we know that local and state governments are cutting back. that's not positive. finally, there is this missed quarter evidence. federal express did blow up. it was not a good number. caterpillar is down 12%, retail sales number might not translate into weak earnings. i was prepared for cat sales to be flat, maybe up a little, not down double digits. then we got oracle. while oracle almost always bounces back, making my charitable trust which owns the stock want to buy more, i have to believe the macroenvironment has gotten worse than we thought. oracle is not that bad a company. you don't want to get too negative either. what could be right?
been really silent since saying the budget sequester will produce very big lay-offs and a weakened economy. he's gone radio silent. we know next week that will be the week when the president will most likely use his podium to talk about how horrible sequestration will be, because it kicks in at the end of the month. perhaps the excellent jobless numbers we got this morning will be the last good one if it's as bad as obama scares us into thinking it is. we know that local and state governments...